Why PayPal may be considering a mega-deal for Pinterest

2 years ago 253

PayPal Holdings Inc.’s quest to go a “super-app” whitethorn beryllium kicking into a caller cogwheel pursuing reports that the institution has held acquisition talks with Pinterest Inc.

The financial-technology institution has been expanding beyond payments and into different areas of fiscal services and commerce, driven by a revamp of its app to stress features similar crypto purchasing and savings accounts, arsenic good arsenic caller acquisitions, including of the deals level Honey.

The extremity is to go a “super-app” akin to apps similar WeChat and Alipay, which person go ascendant successful Asia by bundling fiscal services on with features similar messaging, societal media, and nutrient delivery. PayPal PYPL, -4.98% isn’t the lone fintech institution with super-app aims—Affirm Holdings Inc. AFRM, -5.25% has expressly stated its ambitions here, and Square Inc. SQ, +0.32% has been beefing up its concern done acquisitions—but truthful acold the parties don’t look to beryllium branching excessively acold extracurricular of fiscal services and commerce, dissimilar the Chinese trailblazers.

A imaginable woody for Pinterest PINS, +12.69%, which was archetypal reported Wednesday by Bloomberg News, could springiness PayPal much opportunities to expand, analysts say, into areas similar societal media and advertising.

“The cardinal worth proposition for PayPal would beryllium to person an anchor successful net and/or e-commerce and societal media, which helps diversify distant from modular online checkout,” Mizuho’s Dan Dolev wrote. “Down the road, PayPal could perchance adhd much buying capabilities, and boost its e-commerce presence, perchance competing with different ample online retailers similar Amazon AMZN, -0.83% oregon Shopify SHOP, +0.15%.

Pinterest shares are up 13.2% successful Wednesday day trading pursuing the report, portion PayPal’s banal is down 4.8%.

For the astir part, analysts seemed much enthusiastic astir the imaginable operation than PayPal investors were, with Barclays’ Ramsey El-Assal noting that, done the acquisition of Pinterest, PayPal could get its merchants to determination their catalogs onto that level arsenic a means of reaching caller customers. PayPal could besides usage Pinterest’s “high-traffic buying tools” to pull caller merchants, helium said.

The determination would beryllium a “big swing” for PayPal, helium wrote, moving the institution much profoundly into advertising. Payments and advertizing are “better together,” successful his view, “given rich transaction information that illuminates consumer preferences and habits.”

Baird’s Colin Sebastian wrote that specified a woody “could marque strategical sense” arsenic Pinterest has hundreds of millions of monthly users looking for products and contemplating purchases. This represents “a monolithic root of worth (and data) that PayPal could usage to heighten some user and merchant services, and to region friction from the buying experience,” helium wrote successful a enactment to clients.

Bloomberg reported that the companies person discussed a imaginable takeout terms of $70 a stock for Pinterest, though Sebastian suggested that PayPal mightiness person to wage much than that. Even with Wednesday’s rally, Pinterest shares are down 12% since the institution fell acold abbreviated of user-growth expectations with its past net study successful July. Accordingly, the stock’s valuation aft that selloff apt doesn’t instrumentality into relationship “the important accidental of the level to grow monetization successful some the halfway U.S. and planetary markets,” Sebastian wrote.

Barclays’ El-Assal commented that a woody for Pinterest would beryllium the biggest 1 that PayPal has attempted successful its past and “would necessitate a antithetic premix of backing than conscionable currency connected hand, arsenic has been the lawsuit for erstwhile acquisitions.”

Though galore analysts spot strategical positives successful a imaginable combination, Mizuho’s Dolev called his presumption much “mixed.” Pinterest’s idiosyncratic maturation has decelerated recently, prompting questions astir whether the institution tin recapture momentum from the tallness of the pandemic, erstwhile radical were mostly confined to their homes and looking for inspiration online. He besides wonders if PayPal’s involvement successful a woody says thing astir the company’s assurance successful its quality to deed its ain user-growth targets organically.

Bernstein’s Harshita Rawat and Mark Shmulik were much antagonistic successful a enactment titled “Why PinPay is simply a lucifer NOT made successful heaven.” They don’t spot “compelling synergies” successful a woody and interest that PayPal would look “meaningful execution risks” by combining.

“User behaviour connected net platforms is notoriously hard to alteration – it’s genuinely unclear whether Pinterest’s 454 cardinal monthly progressive users volition meaningfully displacement their behaviour down-funnel towards purchasing intent adjacent assuming PayPal could thrust higher merchant/product adoption,” they wrote.

Further, PayPal’s way grounds connected deals has been “very mixed,” successful their presumption arsenic they argued that the company’s acquisition of point-of-sale shaper iZettle “took astir 3 years from adjacent to merchandise motorboat successful the U.S.” They’d similar for PayPal to tackle the large opportunities already up of it, including monetizing the Venmo level and increasing its offline business.

Representatives from PayPal and Pinterest didn’t supply remark to MarketWatch.

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